Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Steven Stamkos
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.3%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 53.2% vs Stamkos 53.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 71.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Pageau
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Pageau
Stamkos
Last 9: Pageau 2-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Pageau
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Pageau
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Pageau
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (826)
54.1% (460)
-0.6%
Power Play
59.2% (120)
64.2% (106)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (203)
45.3% (106)
+4.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pageau is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Pageau shoots right. Stamkos is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Pageau
Stamkos
Home
55.7% (618)
58.2% (328)
Away
51.0% (531)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Pageau
Stamkos
P1
52.5%
57.5%
P2
56.1%
53.1%
P3
50.8%
52.7%
OT
61.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |