Mikael Backlund vs Steven Stamkos
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.0%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.5% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Backlund
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Backlund
Stamkos
Last 8: Backlund 7-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
1
Backlund
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (983)
49.3% (789)
+2.2%
Power Play
49.4% (87)
56.9% (181)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
54.1% (98)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Backlund shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Backlund
Stamkos
Home
51.6% (653)
52.0% (512)
Away
49.3% (576)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Backlund
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
42.1%
P2
49.8%
56.4%
P3
51.7%
53.7%
OT
53.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |