Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 60.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 66.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Roy
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Roy
Stamkos
Last 6: Roy 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Roy
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
49.3% (789)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
56.9% (181)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
54.1% (98)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Roy shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Roy
Stamkos
Home
47.7% (491)
52.0% (512)
Away
50.0% (440)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Roy
Stamkos
P1
51.1%
42.1%
P2
44.6%
56.4%
P3
50.9%
53.7%
OT
42.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |