Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 48.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 73.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 68.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Reinhart
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Reinhart
Stamkos
Last 6: Reinhart 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
0
Reinhart
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (275)
49.3% (789)
-1.3%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
56.9% (181)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
54.1% (98)
-1.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Reinhart is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Reinhart shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Stamkos
Home
49.8% (201)
52.0% (512)
Away
46.8% (158)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Reinhart
Stamkos
P1
54.8%
42.1%
P2
40.5%
56.4%
P3
50.0%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |