Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stamkos wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 55.2% vs Stützle 47.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 61.3%
Defensive zone
Stützle 82.9%
Neutral zone
Stützle 73.8%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Stamkos
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Stamkos
Stützle
Last 8: Stamkos 2-6 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Stamkos
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
3
Stamkos
Stützle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Stamkos
Stützle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (499)
45.3% (468)
+10.6%
Power Play
56.3% (126)
62.5% (24)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
60.0% (20)
-1.7%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Stamkos shoots right. Stützle is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Stützle
Home
55.3% (349)
46.3% (270)
Away
56.9% (288)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Stamkos
Stützle
P1
57.0%
46.1%
P2
59.2%
45.8%
P3
51.5%
48.2%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |