Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 54.6% vs Stützle 52.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 54.7%
Defensive zone
Stützle 51.3%
Neutral zone
Stützle 53.8%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Stamkos
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Stamkos
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Stamkos
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Stamkos
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (342)
53.0% (485)
+3.1%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
55.2% (58)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
56.7% (30)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Stamkos shoots right. Stützle is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Stützle
Home
53.4% (208)
52.5% (282)
Away
57.7% (234)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Stamkos
Stützle
P1
55.6%
52.1%
P2
52.8%
56.2%
P3
59.1%
52.0%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |