Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.0% vs Stützle 45.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Stützle leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 80.8%
Defensive zone
Stützle 75.9%
Neutral zone
Stützle 76.3%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Stamkos
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Stamkos
Stützle
Last 10: Stamkos 2-8 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
2
Stamkos
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
5
Stamkos
Stützle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
4
5
Stamkos
Stützle
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (9,799)
45.1% (2,292)
+5.3%
Power Play
55.1% (1,725)
55.4% (101)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (825)
47.7% (86)
+2.0%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Stamkos shoots right. Stützle is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (990).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Stützle
Home
52.7% (6,248)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
49.3% (6,127)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Stamkos
Stützle
P1
49.1%
47.1%
P2
52.7%
45.4%
P3
50.9%
44.1%
OT
54.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |