Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 50.9% vs Jost 42.2% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 57.5%
Defensive zone
Jost 82.9%
Neutral zone
Jost 69.5%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Stamkos
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stamkos
Jost
Last 6: Stamkos 2-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Stamkos
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Stamkos
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stamkos
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (789)
40.8% (314)
+8.5%
Power Play
56.9% (181)
37.5% (8)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (98)
39.4% (104)
+14.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Stamkos shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Jost
Home
52.0% (512)
42.8% (264)
Away
50.2% (556)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Stamkos
Jost
P1
42.1%
37.4%
P2
56.4%
40.5%
P3
53.7%
43.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |