Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 55.2% vs Jost 45.0% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 52.7%
Defensive zone
Jost 65.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Stamkos
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stamkos
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Stamkos
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (499)
43.3% (194)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
25.0% (8)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Stamkos shoots right. Jost is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Jost
Home
55.3% (349)
39.7% (78)
Away
56.9% (288)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Stamkos
Jost
P1
57.0%
40.5%
P2
59.2%
43.2%
P3
51.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |