Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 49.0% vs Oshie 46.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 23-12 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 73.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 96.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 79.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Backlund
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
12
(35 meetings)
23
12
Backlund
Oshie
Last 10: Backlund 9-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
3
9
Backlund
Oshie
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
20
2
Backlund
Oshie
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Backlund
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (13,410)
45.2% (764)
+4.5%
Power Play
51.6% (1,336)
47.7% (1,221)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (2,446)
40.2% (164)
+3.8%
On even strength, Backlund has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Backlund shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Backlund
Oshie
Home
49.7% (8,565)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
48.3% (8,632)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Backlund
Oshie
P1
48.5%
47.3%
P2
50.3%
45.2%
P3
48.4%
46.7%
OT
44.1%
40.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |