Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Thompson 43.8% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.4%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Howden
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Howden
Thompson
Last 5: Howden 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Howden
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
43.3% (735)
+10.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (26)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
36.5% (52)
-16.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Howden is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Howden shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Howden
Thompson
Home
55.2% (96)
44.5% (407)
Away
48.9% (131)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Howden
Thompson
P1
42.0%
44.4%
P2
55.8%
44.8%
P3
55.6%
40.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |