Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Thompson 43.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 52.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 71.2%
Neutral zone
Dewar 56.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Dewar
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dewar
Thompson
Last 5: Dewar 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
43.3% (735)
+2.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
50.0% (26)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
36.5% (52)
-7.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Dewar shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Dewar
Thompson
Home
43.3% (238)
44.5% (407)
Away
44.9% (265)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Dewar
Thompson
P1
41.7%
44.4%
P2
46.1%
44.8%
P3
44.4%
40.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |