Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Blueger 45.7% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 97.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 55.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 85.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Matthews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Matthews
Blueger
Last 8: Matthews 7-1 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
0
Matthews
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
48.1% (653)
+7.0%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
29.6% (27)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
38.1% (210)
+11.9%
On power play, Matthews has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Blueger is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Matthews
Blueger
Home
57.0% (440)
45.5% (473)
Away
53.1% (480)
44.8% (417)
By Period
Matthews
Blueger
P1
54.0%
48.0%
P2
55.1%
44.9%
P3
56.4%
43.1%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |