Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Blueger 51.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 92.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 67.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 66.7%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Nelson
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
Blueger
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
4
Nelson
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
54.1% (425)
-7.2%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
100.0% (6)
-42.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
43.8% (144)
-18.8%
On power play, Blueger has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Nelson
Blueger
Home
48.9% (521)
52.5% (282)
Away
45.5% (516)
51.5% (293)
By Period
Nelson
Blueger
P1
45.9%
49.2%
P2
48.0%
57.2%
P3
48.0%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |