Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 51.7% vs Novak 45.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 88.8%
Defensive zone
Blueger 83.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.0%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Blueger
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Blueger
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
0
Blueger
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Blueger
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (425)
43.8% (384)
+10.3%
Power Play
100.0% (6)
58.8% (17)
+41.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
100.0% (1)
-56.2%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Blueger shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Blueger
Novak
Home
52.5% (282)
46.5% (202)
Away
51.5% (293)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Blueger
Novak
P1
49.2%
49.2%
P2
57.2%
44.2%
P3
50.8%
40.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |