Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 48.1% vs Novak 43.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 58.5%
Defensive zone
Blueger 94.7%
Neutral zone
Blueger 90.7%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Blueger
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Blueger
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
0
Blueger
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
0
Blueger
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (223)
41.4% (379)
+8.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
46.9% (32)
+15.6%
On power play, Blueger has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Blueger shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Blueger
Novak
Home
50.0% (192)
42.6% (195)
Away
41.9% (86)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Blueger
Novak
P1
46.2%
42.4%
P2
51.5%
39.2%
P3
43.2%
44.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 04:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |