Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blueger 52.8% vs Novak 43.5% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 84.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 80.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Blueger
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Blueger
Novak
Last 7: Blueger 3-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
3
Blueger
Novak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
0
Blueger
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
1
Blueger
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blueger
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (590)
40.7% (460)
+13.5%
Power Play
71.4% (14)
61.5% (39)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (177)
0.0% (1)
+48.0%
On penalty kill, Blueger has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Blueger shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Blueger
Novak
Home
53.2% (378)
47.0% (236)
Away
53.1% (403)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Blueger
Novak
P1
54.3%
43.1%
P2
56.7%
43.1%
P3
48.9%
40.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |