Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Meier wins 28.6% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meier 45.2% vs Toffoli 50.9% (-21.5%)
Offensive zone
Meier 68.0%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 60.9%
Neutral zone
Meier 53.6%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Meier
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meier
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (56)
62.5% (8)
-26.8%
On even strength, Toffoli has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Meier is 28.6% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Meier shoots left. Toffoli is 77.8% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Meier
Toffoli
Home
46.9% (32)
80.0% (5)
Away
24.0% (25)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Meier
Toffoli
P1
40.0%
60.0%
P2
41.2%
75.0%
P3
12.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.4%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meier
44.0%▬
43.5%
36.8%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
43.0%
58.3%