Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Meier wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meier 43.7% vs Toffoli 43.0% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 53.9%
Defensive zone
Meier 50.9%
Neutral zone
Meier 50.2%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Meier
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meier
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (459)
41.3% (271)
+0.3%
Power Play
48.4% (93)
45.0% (40)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
26.3% (19)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Meier has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Meier is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Meier shoots left. Toffoli is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Meier
Toffoli
Home
43.4% (267)
45.1% (153)
Away
41.8% (299)
37.3% (177)
By Period
Meier
Toffoli
P1
43.5%
47.0%
P2
43.7%
40.2%
P3
40.4%
33.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meier
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.6%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
43.0%
40.9%