Scouting Report
Timo Meier holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Meier wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meier 47.2% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+21.1%)
Offensive zone
Meier 50.1%
Defensive zone
Meier 64.6%
Neutral zone
Meier 52.6%
Result
Timo Meier favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Meier
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meier
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (93)
25.0% (20)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Meier has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Meier is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Meier shoots left. Toffoli is 26.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Meier
Toffoli
Home
40.4% (57)
20.0% (10)
Away
49.2% (61)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Meier
Toffoli
P1
32.6%
80.0%
P2
50.0%
14.3%
P3
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
44.9%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%