Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Hertl 51.4% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 64.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 61.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 58.7%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Gaudette
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaudette
Hertl
Last 7: Gaudette 3-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Gaudette
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Gaudette
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
2
Gaudette
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
51.7% (869)
-11.8%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
55.7% (176)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.9% (138)
+5.1%
On even strength, Hertl has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaudette is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Gaudette shoots right. Hertl is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Hertl
Home
39.1% (225)
51.8% (583)
Away
42.5% (146)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Gaudette
Hertl
P1
45.0%
52.5%
P2
42.6%
50.9%
P3
34.6%
51.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |