Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 48.6% vs Hertl 54.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 69.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Amadio
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Amadio
Hertl
Last 5: Amadio 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
2
1
Amadio
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Amadio
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (458)
54.7% (570)
-6.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
55.2% (143)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
54.5% (77)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Amadio is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Amadio shoots right. Hertl is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Amadio
Hertl
Home
46.6% (238)
56.2% (379)
Away
50.0% (242)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Amadio
Hertl
P1
46.6%
53.4%
P2
54.2%
52.7%
P3
43.0%
57.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
48.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |