Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 48.1% vs Hertl 50.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 81.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 59.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 69.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Gagner
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Gagner
Hertl
Last 10: Gagner 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
2
Gagner
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Gagner
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Gagner
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (395)
51.5% (891)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (62)
54.8% (135)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
41.5% (130)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Gagner shoots right. Hertl is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Gagner
Hertl
Home
49.4% (267)
52.6% (544)
Away
45.4% (194)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Gagner
Hertl
P1
47.5%
49.4%
P2
48.5%
51.7%
P3
48.1%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |