Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.5% vs Dellandrea 50.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 66.5%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 73.8%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 60.0%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Hertl
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hertl
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,117)
52.3% (174)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.8% (296)
100.0% (1)
-40.2%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
38.5% (26)
-4.1%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Hertl shoots left. Dellandrea is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Hertl
Dellandrea
Home
54.3% (709)
48.1% (108)
Away
55.3% (736)
53.8% (93)
By Period
Hertl
Dellandrea
P1
51.6%
55.4%
P2
53.6%
52.5%
P3
58.6%
46.1%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |