Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Hertl wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 57.2% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 96.3%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 65.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 78.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Hertl
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Hertl
Dellandrea
Last 10: Hertl 8-2 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
11
2
Hertl
Dellandrea
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
3
4
Hertl
Dellandrea
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (823)
54.1% (355)
+4.0%
Power Play
56.2% (265)
53.8% (13)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (35)
47.6% (143)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Hertl shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Hertl
Dellandrea
Home
59.7% (561)
54.3% (278)
Away
55.9% (562)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Hertl
Dellandrea
P1
51.6%
54.2%
P2
63.8%
50.6%
P3
58.6%
51.8%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |