Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Hertl wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.2% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 97.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 58.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 83.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Hertl
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Hertl
Dellandrea
Last 10: Hertl 8-2 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
11
2
Hertl
Dellandrea
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
3
4
Hertl
Dellandrea
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hertl
Dellandrea
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,268)
50.5% (1,108)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.3% (1,975)
59.4% (32)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
43.4% (318)
+2.9%
On even strength, Hertl has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Hertl shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Hertl
Dellandrea
Home
55.7% (5,344)
49.4% (741)
Away
52.8% (5,705)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Hertl
Dellandrea
P1
53.6%
49.7%
P2
54.1%
48.6%
P3
55.3%
49.4%
OT
46.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |