Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Parise 44.6% (+15.2%)
Offensive zone
Parise 55.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 63.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Hertl
Parise
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
36.5% (63)
+15.1%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
25.0% (8)
+36.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
75.0% (4)
-30.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Hertl shoots left. Parise is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Hertl
Parise
Home
55.2% (696)
22.9% (35)
Away
50.0% (770)
50.0% (40)
By Period
Hertl
Parise
P1
55.4%
36.7%
P2
54.8%
56.5%
P3
48.9%
19.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
37.3%