Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.2% vs Parise 42.2% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 81.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 96.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 94.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Hertl
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Hertl
Parise
Last 9: Hertl 7-2 Parise
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
2
Hertl
Parise
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
0
Hertl
Parise
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
0
Hertl
Parise
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,268)
40.9% (352)
+12.9%
Power Play
59.3% (1,975)
41.1% (95)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
35.0% (40)
+11.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Hertl shoots left. Parise is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Hertl
Parise
Home
55.7% (5,344)
36.1% (238)
Away
52.8% (5,705)
44.8% (250)
By Period
Hertl
Parise
P1
53.6%
44.8%
P2
54.1%
39.4%
P3
55.3%
37.3%
OT
46.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
54.6%
36.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |