Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +27.3% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Parise shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.8% vs Parise 44.1% (+27.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.7%
Neutral zone
Parise 53.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Hertl
Parise
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (718)
34.4% (32)
+22.6%
Power Play
64.9% (188)
0.0% (1)
+64.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
20.0% (10)
+24.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Hertl shoots left. Parise is 32.3% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Hertl
Parise
Home
59.2% (463)
28.6% (21)
Away
56.0% (520)
31.8% (22)
By Period
Hertl
Parise
P1
56.3%
42.9%
P2
55.4%
7.1%
P3
60.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
8.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
30.2%