Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Nosek wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 58.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 86.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 76.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Nosek
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nosek
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Nosek
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (469)
55.0% (713)
+4.7%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
56.7% (104)
+43.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (124)
47.2% (53)
+9.3%
On power play, Nosek has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Nosek shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Nosek
Seguin
Home
59.0% (295)
56.2% (443)
Away
59.6% (302)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Nosek
Seguin
P1
56.3%
54.2%
P2
61.9%
52.9%
P3
59.2%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |