Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Nosek wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 51.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 50.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 51.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Nosek
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (215)
56.9% (478)
-2.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.4% (54)
-57.4%
Penalty Kill
23.5% (17)
51.3% (76)
-27.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Nosek shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Nosek
Seguin
Home
50.4% (127)
57.4% (317)
Away
53.8% (106)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Nosek
Seguin
P1
51.4%
50.3%
P2
51.3%
60.4%
P3
53.2%
58.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%