Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Nosek wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 51.4% vs Seguin 51.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 67.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 59.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Nosek
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nosek
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Nosek
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (400)
54.8% (135)
-1.8%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
58.3% (24)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (44)
26.7% (15)
+18.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Nosek is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Nosek shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Nosek
Seguin
Home
49.6% (244)
47.4% (95)
Away
54.2% (212)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Nosek
Seguin
P1
53.1%
50.8%
P2
51.4%
57.1%
P3
51.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |