Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 44.9% vs Seguin 52.5% (-10.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 72.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 77.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Novak
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (206)
53.2% (201)
-11.5%
Power Play
52.6% (19)
60.0% (25)
-7.4%
On even strength, Seguin has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Novak is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Novak shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Novak
Seguin
Home
44.9% (118)
56.3% (126)
Away
40.2% (107)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Novak
Seguin
P1
41.5%
44.3%
P2
44.0%
52.1%
P3
42.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%