Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 46.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 60.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 63.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Novak
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (118)
56.5% (712)
-13.3%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
59.7% (67)
-11.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Novak shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Novak
Seguin
Home
50.7% (71)
58.5% (402)
Away
37.1% (70)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Novak
Seguin
P1
44.7%
58.4%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
38.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
35.5%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%