Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.4% vs Seguin 52.5% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 72.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 79.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Novak
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (379)
53.2% (201)
-11.8%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
60.0% (25)
-13.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Novak is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Novak shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Novak
Seguin
Home
42.6% (195)
56.3% (126)
Away
41.2% (216)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Novak
Seguin
P1
42.4%
44.3%
P2
39.2%
52.1%
P3
44.7%
62.5%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%