Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.6% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 76.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 75.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 72.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Novak
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Novak
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
1
0
Novak
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (384)
55.0% (956)
-11.2%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
59.8% (266)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.3% (64)
+43.7%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Novak shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Novak
Trocheck
Home
46.5% (202)
57.7% (673)
Away
42.5% (200)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Novak
Trocheck
P1
49.2%
55.4%
P2
44.2%
55.6%
P3
40.0%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |