Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.5% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 50.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 63.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 53.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Novak
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Novak
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Novak
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (460)
57.6% (1,061)
-16.9%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
65.1% (338)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.5% (101)
-49.5%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Novak shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Novak
Trocheck
Home
47.0% (236)
61.8% (735)
Away
37.9% (264)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Novak
Trocheck
P1
43.1%
57.7%
P2
43.1%
57.9%
P3
40.1%
60.4%
Final 5 min
38.6%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |