Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.0% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 79.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 72.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 78.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Novak
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Novak
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Novak
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Novak
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (198)
59.6% (1,032)
-16.7%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
62.1% (253)
-21.2%
On power play, Trocheck has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Novak shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Novak
Trocheck
Home
40.9% (110)
61.7% (786)
Away
44.5% (110)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Novak
Trocheck
P1
39.1%
61.7%
P2
43.9%
58.8%
P3
44.9%
57.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
25.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |