Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eklund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.0% vs Eklund 44.9% (+12.1%)
Offensive zone
Novak 58.3%
Defensive zone
Eklund 51.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Novak
Eklund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (198)
24.0% (25)
+18.9%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
60.0% (5)
-19.1%
On power play, Eklund has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Novak shoots left. Eklund is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Novak
Eklund
Home
40.9% (110)
38.1% (21)
Away
44.5% (110)
20.0% (15)
By Period
Novak
Eklund
P1
39.1%
25.0%
P2
43.9%
36.4%
P3
44.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
25.5%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Eklund
28.0%▬
29.0%
30.6%