Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eklund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.4% vs Eklund 46.7% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 71.5%
Defensive zone
Eklund 66.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Novak
Eklund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (379)
33.3% (18)
+8.1%
On even strength, Novak has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Novak shoots left. Eklund is 12.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Novak
Eklund
Home
42.6% (195)
16.7% (12)
Away
41.2% (216)
50.0% (8)
By Period
Novak
Eklund
P1
42.4%
25.0%
P2
39.2%
20.0%
P3
44.7%
60.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Eklund
28.0%▬
29.0%
30.0%