Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Frederic wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frederic 46.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 50.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Frederic
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Frederic
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Frederic
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
1
0
Frederic
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frederic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (262)
56.9% (478)
-11.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.4% (54)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
51.3% (76)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Frederic is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Frederic shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Frederic
Seguin
Home
44.1% (152)
57.4% (317)
Away
46.8% (139)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Frederic
Seguin
P1
41.7%
50.3%
P2
48.9%
60.4%
P3
45.6%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |