Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Frederic wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frederic 46.8% vs Seguin 53.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Frederic 76.2%
Defensive zone
Frederic 72.3%
Neutral zone
Frederic 72.3%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Frederic
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Frederic
Seguin
Last 10: Frederic 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Frederic
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Frederic
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
5
Frederic
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frederic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (909)
53.7% (8,071)
-7.4%
Power Play
63.3% (30)
55.9% (810)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
49.3% (762)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Frederic is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Frederic shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Frederic
Seguin
Home
47.6% (485)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
45.4% (485)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Frederic
Seguin
P1
41.9%
52.8%
P2
48.0%
53.3%
P3
49.8%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |