Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frederic 54.7% vs Seguin 52.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 53.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 54.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Frederic
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Frederic
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Frederic
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
1
0
Frederic
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frederic
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (151)
53.2% (201)
+4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.0% (25)
+6.7%
On power play, Frederic has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Frederic is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Frederic shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Frederic
Seguin
Home
55.6% (81)
56.3% (126)
Away
60.3% (73)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Frederic
Seguin
P1
57.7%
44.3%
P2
54.3%
52.1%
P3
60.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |