Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Lewis 44.4% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 68.0%
Defensive zone
Lewis 79.9%
Neutral zone
Lewis 55.7%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Foligno
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Foligno
Lewis
Last 5: Foligno 2-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
2
Foligno
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
45.7% (210)
+7.7%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
71.4% (7)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
33.7% (95)
+6.9%
On power play, Lewis has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Foligno
Lewis
Home
57.3% (225)
48.8% (166)
Away
47.1% (210)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Foligno
Lewis
P1
53.0%
37.9%
P2
51.8%
46.7%
P3
52.6%
42.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |