Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Lewis wins 39.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lewis 45.0% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 72.4%
Defensive zone
Lewis 71.0%
Neutral zone
Lewis 76.5%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Lewis
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lewis
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Lewis
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Lewis
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lewis
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (127)
51.4% (735)
-8.9%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
63.5% (115)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
42.9% (133)
-4.1%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lewis is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Lewis shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Lewis
Karlsson
Home
47.4% (95)
52.3% (524)
Away
36.8% (87)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Lewis
Karlsson
P1
36.4%
50.7%
P2
45.8%
51.4%
P3
43.6%
53.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | William Karlsson |