Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Lewis wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lewis 47.7% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 85.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 74.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 69.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Lewis
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lewis
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Lewis
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
2
0
Lewis
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lewis
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (189)
58.6% (597)
-12.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
57.9% (57)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
51.9% (52)
-9.0%
On power play, Lewis has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lewis is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Lewis shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Lewis
Karlsson
Home
43.3% (90)
59.6% (344)
Away
49.1% (108)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Lewis
Karlsson
P1
46.9%
53.1%
P2
46.3%
62.1%
P3
46.3%
60.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |