Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Lewis wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lewis 44.4% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 74.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 53.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 53.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Lewis
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lewis
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lewis
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lewis
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (210)
56.3% (739)
-10.6%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
58.6% (181)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (95)
47.2% (53)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Lewis shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Lewis
Karlsson
Home
48.8% (166)
56.5% (462)
Away
35.6% (146)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Lewis
Karlsson
P1
37.9%
57.1%
P2
46.7%
55.2%
P3
42.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
40.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |