Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.4% vs 41.4%). Look for Newhook on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Zegras 42.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 58.1%
Defensive zone
Newhook 56.7%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.4%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Newhook
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Newhook
Zegras
Last 7: Newhook 6-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
0
Newhook
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
41.1% (559)
+0.7%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
50.0% (12)
-14.1%
On power play, Zegras has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Newhook
Zegras
Home
42.4% (236)
45.7% (247)
Away
40.4% (267)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Newhook
Zegras
P1
42.9%
45.5%
P2
38.5%
36.8%
P3
43.2%
41.1%
Final 5 min
36.1%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▼
44.0%
41.4%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |