Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Duchene wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.9% vs Dellandrea 47.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.7%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 83.6%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 52.6%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Duchene
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Duchene
Dellandrea
Last 9: Duchene 3-6 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Dellandrea
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
6
Duchene
Dellandrea
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (248)
42.9% (77)
+12.7%
Power Play
45.3% (53)
41.7% (12)
+3.6%
On even strength, Duchene has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Duchene is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Duchene shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Duchene
Dellandrea
Home
54.7% (150)
50.7% (67)
Away
53.0% (151)
33.3% (33)
By Period
Duchene
Dellandrea
P1
51.1%
36.1%
P2
57.8%
43.8%
P3
52.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |