Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.9% vs Johnson 48.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 61.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 53.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Bonino
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Bonino
Johnson
Last 10: Bonino 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
0
Bonino
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
2
Bonino
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (837)
48.7% (941)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.7% (223)
49.6% (133)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (134)
44.8% (201)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Bonino shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Bonino
Johnson
Home
50.7% (564)
50.5% (588)
Away
47.1% (630)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Bonino
Johnson
P1
44.9%
49.4%
P2
50.1%
47.3%
P3
50.9%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2013 | OT | 01:25 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |